Thursday, January 31
Why Republicans have no good choices.
Constitution boy would like to singlehandedly gut the American Economy by instantly cutting loose thousands of government employees (which is good if done gradually), and I think has a sign on his back that doesn't say Kick Me, but rather "Come Kill our Civilians." Waive the white flag, cut and run, and open the door for terrorists to not only have the entire Middle East as their playground, but also all of our communication networks.
Bible boy seems to want to convert everyone to a Southern Baptist, and we wouldn't have to worry about separation of church and state, because we'd have an ordained minister in the White House. Somehow, he seems to want everyone to forget his tax and fee hikes in Arkansas by supporting the Fair Tax and signing the Americans for Tax Reform no new tax pledge. He seemed to want the so called "comprehensive immigration reform" but now wants to play himself off as a hardliner.
Flip-flop has been for and against legalized abortion, for and against embryonic stem-cell research, for and against gun control, for and against prayer in schools, for and against
gay rights...yet at least his positions now seem to actually make him the most reasonable of the four "conservative" candidates.
Lastly, the Democrat. McCain-Feingold, McCain-Lieberman (also a possible ticket choice), both disasters. Let's look at his positions: against the Bush Tax Cuts when they were economically necessary (2001 and 2003), and for them when they weren't (renewal 2006); against the federal marriage amendment but in favor of don't ask, don't tell; for and against repeal of Roe v. Wade; for embryonic stem-cell research; for gun rights but against political free speech for gun control; for amnesty for illegal immigrants (since it worked so well in 1986): are we to actually believe the "Straight-Talk Express" or should we see him for what he is, which is, basically, a moderate Democrat (2006 acu rating: 65). As for any possible support from Nancy Reagan, I think we should recall the last thing Nancy supported in an election: embryonic stem-cell research. And, courtesy of Drudge, McCain nearly left the GOP.
Last time I checked, the Republican party, and more so Conservatism, didn't pick a candidate based on who they thought had the best chance to win, but rather on principle. We didn't stand by what we thought what was the lesser evil, but rather what was right. These candidates seem to have problems with standing on their principles and standing for what is right.
Let Ronnie run the country from the grave: he'd probably do a better job than any of these so-called conservatives. If you're gonna vote, at least vote for the person who is the best conservative today: Mitt Romney. I'm considering staying home.
Conservative talk radio: OUT OF THIS WORLD
Alarmists in the Republican base are losing their minds, and blazing the trail to insanity are the likes of Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh. The bearers of the banner for the American Conservative movement are panicked because they don’t want to become irrelevant, and in the process they are making themselves obsolete.
Then something happened, they were wrong.
And we lost…
No friggin way.
Then
And they were wrong.
Again.
But why, you wonder, would a conservative support a moderate candidate who does not hold the conservative line on issues like border policy and global warming?
Real Clear Politics has McCain beating both Clinton and Obama in close races. Romney gets slaughtered by Clinton, Obama and even Edwards in EVERY SINGLE POLL.[‡] It’s the conservative fatigue.
They have even gone as far as comparing him with Clinton and Obama, with Hannity saying there is “no difference between a McCain presidency and a Hillary Clinton Presidency,” Rush saying he may “sit this one out” if McCain gets the nod and Ann Coulter saying she would flat-out campaign for Clinton if it comes down to Clinton versus McCain.
McCain has a lifetime conservative rating of 82.6% from the American Conservative Union. Fred Thompson, touted as the “true conservative” in the race has an 86.1% ACU rating. (For the record, Duncan Hunter has a lifetime 92% ACU rating and was the most traditional conservative in the race, but you didn’t see the crew using their clout to get him press time and poll numbers.)
Hillary Clinton has a lifetime 9% ACU rating and Obama has an even weaker 8%.[§] In fact, the National Journal rates Obama as the Most Liberal Senator of 2007, with a 95.5% liberal rating. [**]
But of course, there is “no difference” between John McCain and Obama or Hilary.
Ladies and Gentlemen, we have liftoff.
Of course, a half-hour later on the same program Hannity suggested that the “true conservative vote” unite behind Romney and abandon Huckabee so Romney has a fighting chance.
John McCain can win. The perception is that he is just center enough to be electable, and the moderates would prefer him over extreme liberals like Clinton or Obama. If he wins, we then get a president who is a little weak on the border and has some other issues but who WILL fight the War on Terror the way it should be fought, who will prevent the liberals from socializing our healthcare, who will protect our second amendment rights and who will fight the pro-life fight on the abortion battlefield.
Sometimes the lesser of the evils is the best choice.
Sometimes you have to step away the rhetoric and get back to reality.
True conservatives still venerate and desire their conservative values, but sometimes you can’t get what you want.
[*] for the purposes of this post, “the crew” refers to some or all of the following: Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh, Laura Ingraham, Ann Coulter, Mark Levin, and/or Glenn Beck.
[†] The 1,000 times is an average. The actual requirement was 500 changes per state legislator, 750 changes per governor, 1,250 changes per House of Representatives candidate and 1,500 changes per Senator.
Sean Hannity: Newly minted RINO?
MR HANNITY: will re-register from republican to conservative. BRAVO!!Looking for audio, but if true, this officially makes him a RINO. Will update if I come across anything, but suffice to say, very disappointing.
John McCain, the Reagan Republican
EXCLUSIVE: NANCY REAGAN FOR MCCAIN, TOP SOURCE TELLS DRUDGE: 'SHE ADORES HIM, AND IS FULLY SUPPORTING HIM IN HER PRIVATE LIFE. SHE WILL NOT PUBLICLY ENDORSE'...I wonder if she'll release a formal statement.
Wednesday, January 30
Schwarzenegger endorsement watch
"For too long, Sacramento has been controlled by the big-moneyed special interests. As Arnold Schwarzenegger says, 'Money comes in, favors go out and the people lose.' I could not agree more.Will update if/when necessary.
"I have spent much of my career fighting against the corrupting influence of special interest money in politics. When Arnold becomes governor, I hope to have a powerful ally in that fight.
“That is why I endorse Arnold and look forward to working with him in his fight to clean up Sacramento."
Update: CNN --
The second source described the endorsement as "more than expected" and said the conversations were aimed at arranging a Thursday announcement. "Yes, that is the plan," this source said.Update: Or sooner?
California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger will officially endorse McCain after Wednesday night's GOP debate, sources close to both men hint. Both the governor's office and McCain's campaign are maintaining an official silence on the subject. But if the Governator does pat Mac on the back, it would only add to McCain's momentum.
Giuliani (expected) to endorse McCain at 5pm CST
Sen. John McCain's campaign has announced a press conference, scheduled for 6 p.m. EST today, at which he'll be receiving what the campaign terms a "major endorsement." No guessing games today -- seems like this means the reports are true, and that the big endorser will be Rudy Giuliani, once a rival for the Republican presidential nomination.GOP debate starts at 7 CST.
Tuesday, January 29
NEWS FLASH - Hannity and Rush are WRONG, and probably angry.
Comparing a republican to the hildabeast is like calling someones mother a fat pig.
When it turns out their mother is dead.
And she died of obesity.
It doesn't get much worse.
"McCain will never win in states with closed primaries."
"He is only winning because of the democrats and the independents."
"Romney will definitely win Florida."
Beck, Hannity, Rush and the rest, eat your words.
Now let me point out, McCain is a little more liberal than I would prefer. I think McCain-Kennedy, McCain-Lieberman and McCain-Feingold are all terrible ideas. I think he was wrong to oppose the Bush tax cuts. I think he is wrong on a lot of things.
Mr and Mrs conservative talk radio- I hear you.
But here is the BOTTOM LINE:
McCain is the ONLY candidate that can beat either dem. The only one. Right or wrong, the independents and moderate liberals view McCain as "The Maverick" who will not go along with the party on everything. Maybe they are right. Maybe President McCain will do things that will raise my blood-pressure and put a whole in my stomach lining. Maybe.
Here is the only certainty - McCain will win the War on Terror. Obama and Clinton will surrender. That is what it comes down to. I firmly believe that Rudy and Romney would also fair well in the War on Terror, if they ever got into office. But they probably wouldn't.
When we cast our votes on Super Duper Tuesday, we are not voting for McCain or Romeny or the Huckster. We are voting for the defeat of Clinton and Obama.
We are not voting for the guy who has the most staunch conservative values and party-line track record. We are voting for the guy who can win.
All the liberal pundits admit that McCain is the most difficult for them to beat. Both dem front runners have targeted McCain in debates because they know he is the guy to beat, and "Real Clear Politics" has McCain beating all three dems.
The moderate conservative who will WIN the WAR is better than the "true" conservative who will bring home a loss in November.
Now, Rudy is throwing his hat in for McCain. The way I see it, it is over. McCain gets the nod, and if he makes Rudy his VP, we take New York and the White House.
But it isn't over yet, now Hannity and his crew are blaming McCain's success on the support of "the establishment," (which sounds like a paranoid liberal theorist) and the division of the "true conservative vote" between Huckabee and Romney.
Rest assured, McCain will take it. We may not like everything he does, but he has the backbone our country needs and we can all bet that he will not do nearly as many things we don't like as say, Clinton or Obama.
And the best part, Rush and Hannity will have to get behind McCain and eat their words.
Man, I can't wait.
See you on Tuesday.
Rush is not going to like this
Monday, January 28
Obama summoning... Malcolm X?
“They’re trying to bamboozle you,” Obama said for the first time Wednesday in Sumter, S.C., to a predominantly African American crowd while refuting e-mails falsely identifying him as a Muslim. "Don’t let people turn you around because they’re just making stuff up. That’s what they do. They try to bamboozle you, hoodwink you.”But that may not be the biggest news of the day. Ted Kennedy's endorsement is up there, but then there's this:
Obama repeated those lines frequently as he traveled around the state.
The lines echo the best-known version of the Malcolm X speech, which comes from Spike Lee's biopic. It's a stinging address full of blunt racial division, which warns blacks about being “hoodwinked” and “bamboozled” by “the white man.”
"You’ve been had. You’ve been took. You’ve been hoodwinked. Bamboozled. Led astray. Run amok," Malcolm says in the speech.
Robert Gibbs, Obama’s communications director, said he did not know whether Obama was aware that he was echoing Malcolm X.
Antoin “Tony” Rezko, a key fundraiser for Gov. Blagojevich and other Illinois politicians, was arrested early today by federal agents after prosecutors alleged he had violated terms of the bond in his fraud case.Should be an interesting day.
“Tony Rezko was arrested without incident at his home in Wilmette,” FBI spokesman Tom Simon said. “It was pursuant to a warrant issued following a government motion to revoke his bond.”
Sunday, January 27
Saturday, January 26
BREAKING: Crist endorses McCain
Update:
(CNN) — Florida Gov. Charlie Crist will endorse Sen. John McCain in his bid for the GOP presidential nomination, sources told CNN Saturday.In December:
The endorsement will be made Saturday night at a dinner in Saint Petersburg, Fla., the sources said.
Florida voters go to the polls to cast their ballots for the Republican nomination on Tuesday.
The Buzz is that Charlie Crist has promised John McCain he won't make a presidential endorsement until after New Hampshire's Jan. 8 primary, though Crist wouldn't confirm such a deal with McCain: "It was a private conversation,'' he told Steve Bousquet.20 point swing to McCain on InTrade.
But a strong showing in New Hampshire would resurrect McCain's candidacy heading into Michigan and South Carolina, and Crist's endorsement could be a giant boost for the Arizona senator in Florida Jan. 29.
Here's how McCain campaign manager Rick Davis assessed Florida in an e-mail to supporters: "A state Rudy Giuliani has bet his whole campaign on, Florida will be so driven by momentum from previous victories that no amount of early money or organization will make a difference. John McCain is right on the issues in Florida and has the unique ability to bridge political divides in this historically divided state."
Thursday, January 24
Saddam lied, people died
(CBS) Saddam Hussein initially didn't think the U.S. would invade Iraq to destroy weapons of mass destruction, so he kept the fact that he had none a secret to prevent an Iranian invasion he believed could happen. The Iraqi dictator revealed this thinking to George Piro, the FBI agent assigned to interrogate him after his capture.Looks like 60 Minutes is but another arm of the anti-Soros, anti-Truth movement of the Right.
...Saddam still wouldn't admit he had no weapons of mass destruction, even when it was obvious there would be military action against him because of the perception he did. Because, says Piro, "For him, it was critical that he was seen as still the strong, defiant Saddam. He thought that [faking having the weapons] would prevent the Iranians from reinvading Iraq," he tells Pelley. He also intended and had the wherewithal to restart the weapons program. "Saddam] still had the engineers. The folks that he needed to reconstitute his program are still there," says Piro. "He wanted to pursue all of WMD…to reconstitute his entire WMD program." This included chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, Piro says.
Texas Ranger v. Rambo showdown imminent
Rambo is lining up with Republican hopeful John McCain in the battle for the White House which could see him slug it out with Walker, Texas Ranger.
"I like McCain a lot," said US actor Sylvester Stallone, who plays the Rambo screen hero, as he threw his support behind McCain, who is taking a lead in the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination.
Hard on McCain's heels though is Mike Huckabee, already backed by Chuck Norris the actor who plays the Texas Ranger in the hit television series.
Stallone said of McCain, a Vietnam war veteran who spent more than five years as a prisoner of war, that "there's something about matching the character with the script."
Wednesday, January 23
Duncan Hunter endorses Mike Huckabee?
Update from CNN:
“I got to know Governor Huckabee well on the campaign trail,” [Hunter] said in a statement. “Of the remaining candidates I feel that he is strongly committed to strengthening national defense, constructing the border fence and meeting the challenge of China’s emergence as a military superpower that is taking large portions of America’s industrial base.Update: No one gets this. I'm chalking it up to Hunter being jaded by the process and raising the middle finger to his competitors, keeping his endorsement from anyone that could actually derive any momentum from his support. Huckabee's a beached dreadnaught; Hunter's endorsement will just lap against his bow, which may be enough for DH.
"Along with these issues of national security, border enforcement and protecting the U.S. industrial base, I see another quality of Mike Huckabee’s candidacy that compels my endorsement," he added. "Mike Huckabee is a man of outstanding character and integrity. I saw that character over the last year of campaigning and was greatly impressed. The other Republican candidates have many strengths and I wish them all well."
McCain lights into Dems, picks up a cool mil in contributions in NY
"As president, I'd like to serve this nation a little while longer and I'm asking for your support," McCain said at one of his largest events of the campaign at the Fort Walton Beach Convention Center. "And here, all across North Florida, is where I will be depending upon our veterans. I will be depending upon our servicemen and women."Sounds like he gave them their money's worth.
Congressional medal of honor recipient Bud Day, McCain's roommate in prison, accompanied McCain, offering a quiet but powerful endorsement. He and a group of prominent veterans are also campaigning separately for McCain this week in Panama City, Tallahassee, and Jacksonville, among other areas where the military is predominant.
McCain raced up to New York in the afternoon for a fund-raiser that brought in more than $1 million, said Charles Black, his senior adviser.
The crowds at McCain's campaign events greeted his red-meat rhetoric warmly.Zing!
"The Democrats were wrong when Harry Reid stood on the floor of the Senate and said the war was lost. They were wrong when they said we couldn’t succeed militarily, we couldn’t succeed politically," McCain said to cheers.
"Senator Clinton was wrong when she told General David Petraeus 'I would have to suspend disbelief' to believe the surge is working," he recounted. "You would have to suspend disbelief to believe the it's not working!"
"I'm not asking the Democrats to apologize. No, don't apologize. But you were wrong and now it's time for us to return to the old tradition, that partisanship ends at the waters edge," said McCain.
"And I reach out my hand out to the Democrats – now let's work together to get this job done in Iraq," he said. "Make this world safe, fight back al qaeda and Put your country above your party!"
Tuesday, January 22
On 35th Anniversary of Roe v. Wade, state funded abortions for Missouri inmates

MSNBC (and the rest of the MSM) isn't covering one of the largest annual rallies that, ya know, protests this kind of thing. But the network certainly wasted no time putting this on its front page.
ST. LOUIS - The state of Missouri must provide transportation to clinics for inmates who want to have an abortion, a federal appeals panel ruled Tuesday.Attorney General (and gubernatorial candidate) Jay Nixon had better appeal this thing... if not for principle or jurisprudence, then for the will of his constituents.
In 2005, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled the state had to allow a specific inmate, listed as Jane Roe*, to have an abortion after the state tried to end the practice of driving prisoners to clinics for elective abortions.
The American Civil Liberties Union then sought a federal ruling making the high court's decision a class-action on behalf of all imprisoned pregnant women in the state.
...Gov. Matt Blunt called the ruling disappointing and noted that Missouri law prohibits the use of state tax money to pay for abortions.
...Since July 2005, seven Missouri inmates have had abortions, Corrections Department spokesman Brian Hauswirth said. All were elective procedures.
Fred Thompson drops, becomes GOP's first First Tier casualty
Finally, this contest is starting to take shape.
Update: WashPo's Behind the Numbers does some crunching...
Reallocating his supporters from most recent Post-ABC national poll to their second choices (same for California congressman Duncan Hunter who also recently ended his bid): McCain 30%, Huckabee 20%, Giuliani 18%, Romney 18%, Paul 5%.For those playing at home, that's McCain +2 points, Romney +3 points, Giuliani +1, and Huck +1 point. Sounds about right.
Great minds think alike. And steal from one another.
I don't watch MSNBC. So no comment there.
Monday, January 21
Edwards asks "who can beat McCain?" at CNN debate
Update @ 8:59pm: Now everyone's talking about how to beat John McCain and the campaign being about foreign policy and national defense. Ladies and gentlemen, we have a front-runner that the Democrats are visibly afraid of.
Update: TPM has video of the earlier, livelier exchange between Obama and Clinton over the latter's work with Wal-Mart, and the former's work with "slum lord" Tony Rezko.
And the Princeton faculty primary goes to...
All Princeton faculty members who have given to 2008 presidential candidates so far have donated to Democrats, according to federal records of donations to presidential campaigns from Princeton University employees.So, so shocking. And then again, not at all... from OpenSecrets.org (click image for more.)
Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is the runaway favorite candidate among those donors, having received $12,050 from Princeton employees. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) drew the second-highest total contributions from Princeton faculty and staff with $5,600. Other donations have gone to candidates including former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.), Gov. Bill Richardson (D-N.M.) and Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.).
Duncan Hunter eliminates Mitt as an endorsement possibiltiy
Bain Capital is partnering with China's Huawei Technologies in a buyout of 3Com, the U.S. company that provides the technology that protects Pentagon computers from Chinese hackers.More on this if I see anything.
Sunday, January 20
Hunter Drops Out - Our Failure
Everyone has been complaining about the lack of a TRUE conservative. McCain's border policy, McCain - feingold, McCain-Kennedy, Huckabee's smoking ban, Huckabee's socialized programs for illegals, Huckabee's bleeding heart, giuliani's stance on abortion or guns, Romney's change on abortion, Romney's pseudo-socialized health care program, Thompson's general lack of a pulse or Ron Paul's psychotic foreign policy.
Duncan Hunter had the highest ratings from conservative organizations, including the NRA, the Christian Coalition and the National Right to Life. He had NONE of the holes possessed by the other republican candidates and yet we failed him.
Unable to harbor enough name recognition (in part due to his home state of California) he was snubbed by major news networks (including Fox) and ignored by the electorate.
And the grass-roots Neo-conservative movement FAILED him. It was our job to boost him up.
Ron Paul has press based solely on the energy (and craziness) of his followers. We should have rallied around the true conservative, we should have found a (dignified) way to get our man some attention.
Now we are left to pick from the least of the evils.
And we have no one to blame but ourselves.
Saturday, January 19
It's been a good day for Republicans
Friday, January 18
Chomsky pwns 9/11 conspiracy theorists
Looks like Noam and I can agree on something. Imagine that.
Update: Unsurprisingly "Lehet mas a vilag" appears to be the name of a Leftist group, meaning something like "There can be another world." Site here.
Thursday, January 17
AP writer Glen Johnson chides Romney from his linoleum pulpit over lobbyists
PORTSMOUTH, N.H. (AP) - When the hostages had been released and their alleged captor arrested, a regal-looking Hillary Rodham Clinton strolled out of her Washington home, the picture of calm in the face of crisis.Hm. Bias yes? Now he's covering the Romney campaign, with predictable results. Look, I'm not looking for all reporters to be automatons, but c'mon, fair treatment and equal-opportunity candidate bashing would be nice. (Ron Fournier anyone? Who also happens to be with the AP.)
The image, broadcast just as the network news began, conveyed the message a thousand town hall meetings and campaign commercials strive for—namely, that the Democratic presidential contender can face disorder in a most orderly manner.
Click below for the video.
Abortions way down, but
Despite the drop, slightly more than one pregnancy in five ended in abortion in 2005, the Guttmacher Institute said.Imagine your local grade school. Imagine it 25% bigger. Then remember why it's not.
Federal court lets casino cauci go forward
LAS VEGAS (Reuters) - A federal judge on Thursday allowed Nevada's Democratic Party to conduct voting to choose a U.S. presidential nominee in casino hotels on the Las Vegas Strip, a decision likely to boost Sen. Barack Obama.
For the first time, Nevada Democrats planned to set up nine locations for Saturday's vote so casino shift workers -- who are largely represented by a union that endorsed Obama -- could express their preference for a Democratic Party candidate before the November presidential election.
A teachers' group filed a lawsuit saying the exception for the casino workers' vote was unfair, but Judge James Mahan of the U.S. District Court for Nevada disagreed and declined to issue a temporary injunction.
A large turnout of casino workers could boost Obama, of Illinois, in his tight race against New York Sen. Hillary Clinton because he has won the backing of the Culinary Union, whose 60,000 dishwashers, cooks, cleaners and other hotel service workers could swing the vote Obama's way if they turn out in high numbers.
Update: If it interests anyone, the judge ruling on the case was appointed by George W. Bush.
Wednesday, January 16
Obama, the next... Reagan?
"Ronald Reagan changed the trajectory of America in a way that Richard Nixon did not, and a way that Bill Clinton did not," he said, describing Reagan as appealing to a sentiment that, "We want clarity, we want optimism, we want a return to that sense of dynamism nad [sic] entrepreneurship that had been missing."
Tuesday, January 15
Somebody's kicked the reset button
DETROIT (AP) - Mitt Romney scored his first major primary victory Tuesday in his native Michigan, a win he desperately needed to give his weakened candidacy new life and set the stage for a wide-open Republican showdown in South Carolina in just four days.This is going to be a long, long race. Can someone not named Huckabee please unite the base? Please?
Romney was the third Republican victor in the first four states to vote in the 2008 primary season, further roiling a volatile nomination fight that lacks a clear favorite.
The former Massachusetts governor defeated John McCain, the Arizona senator who was hoping that independents and Democrats would join Republicans to help him repeat his 2000 triumph here. Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor, trailed in third, and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson was waiting for the top three candidates in South Carolina, already campaigning.
Clinton, for her part, beat "Uncommitted." And in other news, the Democrats are debating on MSNBC.
Nifong files for bankruptcy... claiming he has $180m in debt
Michael Nifong, the former North Carolina DA who filed rape charges against three Duke lax players and then resigned after being accused of withholding evidence, has filed for bankruptcy. Click here for the bankruptcy filing.
Nifong, who has lost his law license, listed assets of $243,898 and debts of $180.3 million.
$180.3 million?! $180 million of that is from a prosecutorial-misconduct lawsuit filed by six Duke lax players. Each claim $30 million in damages, and each are listed as creditors.
Early results calling a Mitt win?
The (leaked?) story:
According to a report prepared by Edison Media Research for AP and published in Startribune the initial Michigan primary exit poll results favor Republicans and the Democrats seem to be minority. We project the winner of the Michigan primary exit poll results to be the Republican candidate Mitt Romney.Language of the post fits the style of a press release and precedes the Forbes report with some of the identical verbiage by ~three minutes. Only time will tell, but some apparently think this is reliable. Let's see if this turns into another New Hampshire.
Update: The Campaign Spot is reporting early results of Romney 25, McCain 29. That's consistent.
Monday, January 14
Gitmo and Politics
I guess the world we live in makes our national security dependent on political impressions. Which is pathetic. We've caught and locked up hundreds of terrorists at Gitmo, which means they're a long swim from the mainland, and we would most likely just be moving them to another prison. Most likely on the mainland. Closer to us.
Let's keep Gitmo open to house terrorists, keep them away from us, and keep pressing them for information (since they're unlawful enemy combatants for the most part) by whatever means are appropriate.
Sunday, January 13
Success!!1! Time to play a profane drinking game while dancing on an open bar and reading indecent literature
..."We have people complain from time to time especially about establishments on Main Street getting out of control."Eventually, the nefarious Indecent Speech Lobby prevailed and the bans were bounced, with Veit saying afterward that his proposal had been "mischaracterized" by the media. As he explained, "It doesn't make it a crime to use profanity." And I agree! How could anyone misunderstand language this clear?
And so [City Councilman Richard Veit] has taken action with a proposed bill. It promises to control rowdiness, curb underage drinking and give police some real rules to enforce at area bars.
Veit says, "It's not necessarily that everything is out of control. But if we have these rules and everybody knows what they are, then we won't ever get to that point."
Among the rules: no open bar, no drinking games or contests, no dancing on tables, and no indecent, profane or obscene language, songs, entertainment and literature.
At no time, under any circumstances... shall any licensee or his/her employees allow any indecent, profane or obscene language, song, entertainment, literature or advertising material upon the premises. ...Any person who shall violate any provision of this section shall be guilty of a violation of this code of ordinances punishable as provided in [Sub. Sec] 115.99....I hate the media with its anti-Richard Veit bigotry. Note, though, that acts and/or representations of bestiality are still banned, so please confine your celebrations to those outlined in the post's title.
Heck, while you're at it smoke a cigarette, too. That's not banned. Yet.
*Note to table dance enthusiasts: Turns out that table dancing is, in fact, banned under the new legislation. So don't table dance in St. Charles. You know who you are.
MO Dems Offer Praise for Disgraced Bowman
State Democratic Party spokesman Jack Cardetti said, "It's a regrettable situation. Rep. Bowman fought hard for his district, and he was a good legislator." According to the Post-Dispatch.
Just another thing to prove that the idea of an ethical Democrat is about as far fetched as Ron Paul's Presidential Candidacy.
Soros Funded Lancet Study in Iraq
Liberal Bias - coming to you one billionaire at a time.
Friday, January 11
To get it Right, rally around John McCain
And I'll admit it: I was, and to some extent still am, a Mitt Romney guy. Romney, flaws and all, seemed like the only reasonable option for everyone; clearly, the party has not felt the same way, though at 60 years old his days in politics are far from over (assuming he can still stomach the enterprise.) I believed that he represented in this race the only cross-board conservative that the Reagan Coalition - which is not dead - could unite behind.
Others believed Fred Thompson was also such a man, who until recently was walking his much-hyped campaign rather than running it. Giuliani and Huckabee were also alternatives... and are no-gos, almost certainly because they sever a leg of the conservative tripod - social, economic, and foreign policy - in ways that few are especially comfortable. And I emphasize "few."
So why my conversion to McCain? For all the flack McCain gets for his "un-conservative" dalliances, those infidelities - with the exception of immigration - almost categorically haven't affected a super-majority of the Republicans, or of anyone else for that matter. Campaign finance reform capped what you could give to a candidate during a campaign; how many people do you know that max out their donations? The Gang of 14 was an arrangement that guaranteed there would be no filibusters of judicial nominees in a closely divided Senate; is not Samuel Alito a more-than-adequate outcome from the arrangement? And why, pray tell, did the Republicans lose the House and Senate? The Iraq War, official corruption, and the explosion of federal spending played no small part... but where was, and is, John McCain on all of these issues?
It may be my naivete as a young, libertarian-leaning Republican to not grasp the extent of Capt. McCain's sacrileges, but I've got to say, those missteps have had almost no practical impact on the lives of Joe and Jane American, and the more I talk to relatively non-political peers of mine, the more I realize that they would never vote for a Republican... unless, of course, it was John McCain.
John McCain is not only electable; he's someone every American, and Republican, can rally behind. The party is no doubt fractured, but to nominate any other candidate is to risk proving out Huckabee's hypothesis that the Coalition, and by implication the party, is dead. It's that sectarianism and identity politics that typifies the Democrats but, up to this point, has hardly touched the Republicans. We must not let it.
Every election is the "most important of our lifetime." This one is most-most important. If the Republican Party wants to secure the Reagan Coalition, preserve its tenets of small government and individual liberty, and win this election, it should nominate John McCain. For these reasons, for party unity, and for a better United States, I give him my endorsement.
Kucinich Repeats Dem War Cry
This is how the Democrats operate. No grace.
Thursday, January 10
U.S. "Worst" In Healthcare
Before conceding that a universal or socialized system must provide more effective and timely healthcare, consider the basis of the study: "While most countries surveyed saw preventable deaths decline by an average of 16 percent, the United States saw only a four percent dip." This research demonstrates which nations improved healthcare, but does not compare each nation's overall quality of care.
President Bush often asserts that the United States has the best health care system in the world. As the fine print of the Commonwealth Fund's study affirms, "American health care is respected worldwide in terms of its training and education, technological sophistication, [and] focus on the consumer." In fact, the United States spends more per capita on healthcare than any other nation. Other countries—including France, Canada, and Italy—benefit greatly from our investments in medical research and technology.
Rather than "U.S. Worst in Healthcare," an AP story on the same study might have reported: "The best healthcare system in the world improved patient outcomes by four percentage points in one year."
Special to the NB >> Conservatism at a Crossroads: Huckabee Takes GOP, Nation in Wrong Direction
With a major media bounce and instant leg up on the competition at stake, Iowa Republicans will caucus today to award their formal endorsement in the Party's contest for its presidential nomination. History indicates that no less than the future direction of the Republican Party – and potentially the nation, should the GOP nominee go on to win the general election – may be at stake. Will the party faithful in the Hawkeye state choose the closest thing to a movement conservative, or will they commend a candidate whose conservative credentials are mixed, at best? In Iowa, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is the most potent embodiment of the latter, and to nominate him would be a disastrous mistake.
Huckabee has vaulted into frontrunner status in places like Iowa and South Carolina on the clarity and consistency of his deeply held socially conservative views. As former governor of a Southern state, his matches the winning profile of both George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. His speaking abilities, in debates and on the stump, rival those of Slick Willie. And America has always liked an underdog, the position Huckabee has occupied most of the campaign, and does still in terms of campaign cash and on-the-ground organization.
Despite his soaring electoral prospects in the primary, Huckabee is ill-suited to carry the Republican banner in this year's general election. The GOP candidate must be able to unite the Party and govern in accordance with the first principles of its underlying philosophy, conservatism. Conservatism is the belief in the natural rights of man, traditional moral responsibility and the ability to deter and defend against threats to national security. While troubling questions have recently arisen as to the governor's lack of foreign policy experience and latent dovish tendencies, it is his rejection of limited government that is the most damnable element of his candidacy.
On few issues does Huckabee evince an aversion to expanding the size and scope of the state. To the degree he holds any comprehensive and coherent political philosophy, he appears to assent to the liberal fallacy that to love one's neighbor is to leverage the government's monopoly on the legal use of force for the purpose of redistributing wealth. Not only is such legalized plunder immoral in and of itself, but a government which renders vulnerable, rather than secure, the life, liberty and property of it citizens, is more, not less likely to produce the conditions which government activists purportedly seek to ameliorate.
Taxes, Spending, Regulation
During his decade-long tenure as Arkansas governor, Huckabee raised taxes, increased spending and expanded economic regulations. In recent attempts to muddle the record, the preacher-turned-politician has told campaign audiences about the handful of tax cuts he enacted. Taxpayer savings were more than wiped out however by sales tax increases and new levies on gasoline, cigarettes and more. The overall tax burden on Arkansas jumped 47% during the Huckabee years according to the Arkansas Democrat Gazette, while Americans for Tax Reform reports that from 1996 to 2004 spending increased at an alarming three times the rate of inflation.
Betraying contempt for private property rights, Huckabee proposes a nationwide smoking ban in all public and private workplace settings, presumably including restaurants and bars. He supported the massive expansion of Medicare in 2003 and criticized the president's recent veto of legislation that would have expanded taxpayer-subsidized health care to illegal immigrants, children in some families making over $80,000 a year and "adults" up to the age of twenty-five.
Education
Huckabee deserves credit for advancing the charter school movement in his home state, and defending the rights of parents to educate their children at home. However, he opposes voucher programs and speaks warmly of No Child Left Behind and other federal misadventures into education policy. In receiving and accepting the endorsement of the nation's most destructive special interest group, the National Education Association (New Hampshire chapter), he shares company with present and past recipients Hillary Clinton and Howard Dean. The only GOP candidate to receive the NEA stamp of approval, he was likewise the sole Republican to speak at the national organization's Representative Assembly last year. It is difficult if not impossible to imagine Mike Huckabee making serious progress towards genuine school choice or other meaningful education reform if he were to become president.
Crime
As has fortunately been reported and discussed widely in the last several weeks, Hucakbee practiced his brand of compassionate conservatism by pardoning, commuting or reducing the sentences of more than 1,000 convicted criminals in Arkansas. In all, he intervened in at least twice as many cases as his three predecessors – including Bill Clinton – combined. More than a few of these prisoners went on to commit heinous acts after being released, including the now-infamous Wayne Dumond, a rapist who after his early release in 1999 went on to murder at least one Missouri woman before he died (The Kansas City Star reports he was the lead suspect in a second case but never tried). It seems Huckabee's belief in redemption and forgiveness contributed to a lack of discernment – something primary voters will have to consider.
Immigration
On immigration, Huckabee failed in his bid to offer illegal aliens in-state tuition and state-funded scholarships to public colleges and universities in Arkansas. This would have put them in line for government assistance ahead of legal citizens of other states. In 2005 he opposed Republican efforts to verify the legal status of applicants for state services and even objected to a proposal that those registering to vote provide proof of their citizenship, according to a November story in the Associated Press. Rival campaigns have hammered Huckabee on his weak immigration record and it has already cost him the support of some socially conservative voters who might otherwise have jumped on his bandwagon. It will likely continue to be an issue in which Huckabee is forced to play defense in most if not every state primary.
Ethics
Huckabee became governor in 1996 when his predecessor, Jim Guy Tucker, was forced to resign after his conviction in the Whitewater scandal. Such being the circumstances surrounding his rise to power, it reasons Huckabee would have diligently avoided even the appearance of ethical improprieties. Yet as a public official he saw fit to accept an extraordinary amount of gifts – at least one year the value of which totaled more than his gubernatorial salary – and was found guilty of ethics violations five times by the Arkansas Ethics Commission. In a general election against Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-New York), his own record would make it difficult to extract the full advantage of Clinton's own ethical failings.
Some of those who knew Huckabee the best during his time in Arkansas are now among his worst detractors. A former Arkansas Republican Party official told me Huckabee tolerated incompetence and ethically questionable conduct on the part of some party personnel, so long as the offenders were "his people." The same source echoed others who have since come forward publicly to assert that the governor is ruthless toward those who disagree with him, and a thin-skinned man known to carry a grudge. When he attempted to install his wife as Arkansas Secretary of State in the [2002] election, critics including fellow Republicans cried foul. The voters rejected Janet Huckabee by a whopping 24 percentage points.
Populism
On the campaign trail, Huckabee's rhetoric is often closer to the ominous populism of John Edwards than the sunny optimism of Ronald Reagan. He does not seethe furiously like Edwards, perhaps because he is a more innovative orator and his target audience (culturally conservative middle and lower class voters) might be less receptive to unbridled anger than that of Edwards (culturally moderate or liberal middle and lower class voters) . Nonetheless, each preaches from the collectivist catechism of class struggle.
Huckabee stokes the anxieties of the poor and middle class when he affirms that the odds are "stacked against them 20 to 1." In his world, it is often the haves against the have-nots. He implies – sometimes not so implicitly – that his humble background is a more essential qualification for the presidency than his ideas for the future. For all his rhetoric, he has sketched policy proposals in only modest detail.
Underneath it all seems to be the implication that poverty is a virtue, while wealth is a vice. In a land of opportunity, this equation is far from balanced. Adults who stay poor during their lifetime typically work less than their middle and upper class counterparts; their dim financial outlook is often compounded by their having dropped out of high school, committed crimes, turned to substance abuse or produced children outside of wedlock. Christ commands believers to treat the poor with compassion; conservatism confirms that doing so means something other than simply creating another government program.
Alternatives
While imminently likeable and strong on many issues, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is an unacceptable nominee as well. He is not a social conservative – which means he is not fully conservative – and his nomination would alienate the wing of the party for whom social issues are the most important issues. Ignored by the mainstream media and GOP establishment, Ron Paul has been one of the most dynamic and intriguing voices during this primary season. His unpolished campaign style and some of his more unusual views prevent him from going beyond "dynamic and intriguing."
That leaves Arizona Senator John McCain, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. While possessing limitations, any of the three are preferable, philosophically and politically, to Giuliani or Huckabee.
McCain is closer to being a true conservative than Huckabee, but his crusade to regulate political speech, relatively recent conversion to an enforcement-first approach on illegal immigration, and opposition to the Bush tax cuts make him a less than a unifying force for conservatives.
Thompson lacks executive experience, and perhaps the vigor and raw political instinct for what will be a grueling general election. There are also troubling aspects of his legislative record: he aided McCain's unconstitutional assault on free speech and helped increase federal control over education.
Romney is running on a fully conservative platform, and is the only candidate with significant experience in the private sector. He is a flawed contender, with only a recent arrival on some of his positions and a somewhat wooden, if ruthlessly consistent campaign style. However, his conservative policy proposals, executive experience and exemplary personal record make him perhaps the most appealing choice for the Republican nomination.
Conservative writers and broadcasters have done an outstanding job exposing Huckabee's record and commenting insightfully on the same. That some of them form part of what grassroots conservatives regard as the "Republican establishment" does not diminish the veracity of the case against Huckabee. Mine is an upper-middle class Midwestern family that attended a Bible-believing church nearly every Sunday until I left home for college. Those who distrust the establishment should take at their word those whose sincere criticism of Mike Hucakbee stems from nothing less than belief in God, the Republic and Conservative Politics.
© Brian T. Johnson, January 3, 2008
Brian T. Johnson is a freelance writer and former lobbyist living in Columbia, Missouri.
Kerry Endorsement
The Kerry campaign was unable to beat a relatively unpopular President who was seeking re-election. A reminder of weak candidacies in the past.
Agent of Δ, indeed: Kerry endorses Obama
Barack Obama is being endorsed by 2004 Democratic presidential nominee Sen. John Kerry, FOX News has confirmed....Give me a second... I'm trying to figure out which way the wind's blowing...
The endorsement developed swiftly after the New Hampshire primary, where Obama came in second to Hillary Clinton after winning the Iowa caucuses the week before. Kerry’s endorsement had been sought by all three top Democrats before those contests. Kerry held off but moved to Obama after New Hampshire, seeing that even though Obama lost he attracted more than 20,000 more votes in the primary than Kerry did when he won in 2004.
The extent to which Kerry's support will help Obama remains to be seen; an endorsement by what can only be called an "establishment" figure doesn't help his message of "change," but it can add legitimacy to his experience and suitability for the Oval Office... which, as we may have seen in NH, could turn out to be an equally potent rallying cry.
Tuesday, January 8
Things that raise my blood pressure and put holes in my stomach lining.
The hildabeast loses Iowa and instead calls it a "victory for the democratic party" and talks on almost like she won.
Then, today she wins New Hampshire and Obama's speech sounds like an victory speech, also calling it a "victory for the party."
We all know they hate each other. Let's get those true colors out.
I am going to end the war.
I keep hearing Obama ramble on about how "when I am president, we are going to end that war in Iraq."
HOW exactly does he intend on doing that? What about the consequences of an immediate pullout? What about the ramifications of ONCE AGAIN appearing weak in the face of islamic terror?
Did he see what weakness got us under Clinton? What is his PLAN to fix it?
I am tired of seeing these rabid morons in the background hooting and hollering when he talks about ending the war. Idiots with NO comprehension about the current geopolitical situation and with short memories about what inaction bought us in the 90s.
WAKE UP LIBS!
The privileged few.
I am sick of hearing all of the leading dems talk about how Bush served the privileged few. Bush's tax cuts benefited EVERYONE! The near record low unemployment, the highest rates of home-ownership, the consistent job growth; those benefited EVERYONE.
WAKE UP LIBS
Finally, Hannity, WFT?
Hannity went on today about how even if McCain wins NH, it doesn't mean much, and the loss wouldn't be a big deal for Romney. Hannity has his nose so far up Romney's ass that he can't see reality.
It is a tough feat to win the nomination, or the presidency for that matter, after losing both Iowa and New Hampshire. Not impossible ("the comeback kid" slick willy did it in 92) but still tough. Throw in the fact that Romney is from New England and many citizens of New Hampshire watch TV from Massachusetts and he still couldn't win NH. In fact, he didn't even come all that close (5% at 89% reporting). Lets face it Mr. Hannity, it looks bad for your boy Romney.
He shot his load in Iowa and came up empty and couldn't win in his own backyard.
Romney's ship is sinking, and its time for Hannity to realize it and stop playing nay-sayer to every other GOP candidate. (Except Ron Paul, because let's face it, he deserves it.)
Now I need to take my medication, because it has only just begun.
Predictions apparently aren't my thing
And a possible Clinton victory? Geesh. The MSM may be eating a lot of crow on that one.
Update: AP calls it for Clinton. Wow. Lead's growing, too, currently at 6000. Was 3000 most of the night.
"League of Young Voters"? See: MoveOn.org
I feel like I've been here before...
Ron Paul: A secessionist racist when not in public office?
Hot Air's got the nitty gritty. Video below pretty well summarizes the revelations from The New Republic, all of which are bad, bad news. Really surpised this come out earlier. Certainly should have.
Huckabee's ambitious (and cynical?) agenda for the Constitution
Heading into South Carolina, where illegal immigration appears to be the biggest issue among Republicans, Huckabee is going to support a constitutional amendment prohibiting birthright citizenship? Did I not hear him in several debates, including on Sunday, admonishing those of us who've long opposed birthright citizenship, about God's children coming out of the shadows? Is this not the same man who only a few months ago supported McCain-Kennedy? ...Yep.
And if anyone is counting, this makes four constitutional amendments Huckabee claims to be supporting:
1. the Fair Tax requires a constitutional amendment to eliminate the Sixteenth Amendment;
2. a Human Life amendment;
3. an amendment to define marriage;
and now,
4. an amendment to end birthright citizenship.
Now, isn't it time that Huckabee explain how he plans to organize an effort to get two thirds of both Houses of Congress, which might include a whole bunch of Democrats, to achieve any of this?
Just a thought, but
I'll follow up later, but I'm pretty sure this will be an issue in the MSM PDQ. "The Politics of Condescension." Print it.
Update 1/10: Print it, Bob Novak.
Bill Clinton's accompanying belittling of Obama as unqualified ("the biggest fairy tale I've ever seen") was similarly regarded within the party as a serious blunder. That indeed was the reaction from the Obama camp. Obama himself was condescending about his powerful detractor: "I understand he's feeling a little frustrated right now." In fact, an attack by so powerful and popular a Democratic icon should have been taken seriously by the neophyte candidate.
Update 1/10: Print it, New York Times. Maybe McCain won't get hit by this, but it sure looks like Obama is.
Michelle Six, 36, a lawyer and John Edwards supporter in Los Angeles, said she was horrified to hear Mr. Obama tell Mrs. Clinton she was “likable enough” in a Democratic debate on Saturday. Ms. Six said she found the line condescending, and an echo of other unkind remarks by other men about women over the years.
Monday, January 7
"Iron my shirt," heckler tells Hillary
"Iron your own shirt," indeed. MKH thinks it might be a plant. Maybe, but judging from the shot of the guys exiting, they were probably 1.) dared to do it (the event was at a high school), or 2.) did it as part of some (fraternity?) prank (there are two colleges in this town of 28,000.) Either way, it looks like a net positive for the Hillster. Will update if I can get some IDs to help figure out if was a prank or plant.
Update: From another angle... looks like they popped up in two spots.
Update II: Hunch confirmed. Captain Fun strikes!
Update III: MM mentions me by name. Unnecessary, but thanks!
Update IV: Radio stunt. Surprise? Not really.
About this whole "lose NH and Hillary's out" meme
Mission accomplished, Matt. The driveby media looks ridiculous.
Big Bad Drug Companies
No I am not huge Romney fan, but I must come to his aid on this one.
I have seen people lament that American Drug Companies are clearly the problem and that this is evident by the fact that you can get generic drugs cheaper in Canada and Mexico. These horrible companies charge so much money so their CEOs and shareholders can get rich.
To any one of you who has ever thought that drug companies are the problem, ask yourself this?
Where do all the lifesaving drugs come from? How much does it cost to "discover" or engineer a cure to an illness? How much education does it take to be a researcher for a big drug company? Who else is more deserving of a big paycheck than the people who create the drugs that keep us alive?
The people who dedicate their lives to finding these cures go to school for over a decade. They deserve to be compensated for their devotion. The drug companies invest millions of dollars into each cure, testing and exploring thousands that do not work for every one that does, and then they have roughly 7 to 12 years to make their money back before the patents expire and drug companies from China and India start copying their medicine for 5 cents a pill.
If designing new life-saving medicines wasn't a profitable venture, on both a personal and industrial level, then people wouldn't be doing it, and you would have to wait for Mexico and Canada to design those drugs. See how well that works out for you.
Drug companies and their employees should be rewarded with handsome profits, and enjoying those profits does NOT make them bad guys." As long as they keep saving our nicotine stained, caffeinated, fat behinds.
Here is a thought, pass legislation prohibiting drug advertisements. Companies must spend millions to market their drugs and the end result is a higher overhead (which must be made up for through higher prices) and a bunch of patients hand-picking their medications. Why not put a moratorium on all advertising of prescription drugs except in publications geared toward health care professionals, and samples sent out to doctors. This way, the companies all save money without the risk of "losing out" to a competitor who outspends them, the REAL people who should be making the decisions about which drug is right for who will still have access to the info, and I don't have to have my dinner ruined by obnoxious commercials about herpes symptoms or worry about someday explaining to my 4 year-old what "ED" is because of the Viagra commercial that came on during the 5pm news.
Just a thought.
Really angry Ron Paul supporters chase Sean Hannity in NH, call him a "terrorist"?
Note Hannity flashes a smile as he goes into the hotel. Also the mob's abrupt "uh, now what?" moment, before it kinda sorta cheers whatever it just did. Classic.
The crowd's ire stems from Paul's being excluded from last night's forum by Fox News. A little bit of anger's justifiable and as I've said, I'm sympathetic as far as his inclusion in the forum's concerned, but this? Gives Paul supporters a bad name.
Well, a worse one anyway.
Thursday, January 3
Biden, Dodd to Quit
Class-Romney vs. Huckabee
A little later, Ed Rollins, Huckabee's National Campaign Chairman, was interviewed by Wallace, and came across angry enough to cause Brit Hume in the studio to make jokes to play down how awkward the situation was.
Romney: Classy, Huckabee Camp: Irritable.
Congrats to Huckabee for his victory, but as Pat's predictions note, Huckabee is the Democrats' dream candidate.
Who's Denny Weddle?
The story, via the Moderate Voice:
One of this year’s leading candidates will be “Swift-Boated” in a new book to be announced next Monday, January 7th at 1:30 p.m. in the Murrow Room at the National Press Club in Washington.Reportedly this is coming from a vet who knew the candidate since his college days, with fits with Mr. Weddle, who himself appears to be a vet.
Any guesses as to what the scandal is and how Weddle's related to it?
Update @ 11:30am: A Dem connection? From a marketing firm's website:
I... helped arrange for President Denny Weddle to provide on-site protocol support for then-Secretary of Defense William Perry at an Inter-America Defense Ministers Conference.Update @ 12:03pm: The contact for the event, Barry Thigpen, has the same name as one of John McCain's military supporters? McCain's been brought up as a possible target, but from within?
Update 1/7/08: Mitt's the target. More specifically, his religion. Disgusting.
Tuesday, January 1
My Presidential predictions (as of today)
In Iowa:
- On the Democrat side: John Edwards wins, in part because of the Dems' "second-choice" rule for its caucus. Obama second, Clinton third. Obama nonetheless hurt as the "agent of change" candidate.
- On the Republican side: Romney wins in a squeaker, turning the Huckaboom into a Huckabust. McCain holds off Fred Thompson for third, ending for all intents and purposes Thompson's campaign.
- On the Democrat side: Clinton wins, Obama second, Edwards third. Clinton then takes Michigan and Nevada. Obama gets a boost from independents but has to wait for South Carolina for one last chance to boost his candidacy; Edwards starts to fade.
- On the Republican side: McCain makes it close but falls just short to Romney, with independents voting largely in the Democrat primary to boost Obama's chances. Giuliani comes in a distant third, just edging out... Ron Paul (who does jack-diddle in all future contests.)
- On the Democrat side: Hillary takes it, losing a least one but no more than two or three primary contests. Vice presidential candidate up for grabs, but probably Richardson. Edwards would decline being VP (again,) and Obama would not fight the Washington status quo only to be co-opted into it.
- On the Republican side: Romney endures after losing several states and surviving the rest. No idea who becomes the VP, though if I had to choose between the current Presidential candidates, I'd be inclined to believe he'd pick Giuliani or McCain, putting the Northeast at least minimally into play. Huckabee has made an enemy of Romney, and Thompson fades away into the obscurity from which he was borne into this race.
Nightmare candidates for the other party:
- For Republicans: Obama. Candidate of historic proportions campaigning on a reconciliation platform. Little if any baggage.
- For Democrats: McCain. War hero and "maverick" who would use all of his maverickness and general popularity to his advantage.
- For Republicans: Hillary. Huge negatives.
- For Democrats: Huckabee. Parochial candidate if there ever was one.
